Finding quality stocks on the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Lincoln Indicators
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Lincoln Indicators

Feb 22nd, 2022
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For many of us, it feels like we’re living in uncertain times.

Every day, we face more social, economic, and political disruptions. For investors, it can be alarming.

During times like this, everyone has an opinion, and it’s fair to say there’s more noise around the markets than ever before.

Arguably, objective analysis and facts have never been more critical for investors looking to navigate the stock market.

With the right tools and guidance, there has never been a better time to invest in the stock market.

In our opinion, there are three Primary Golden Rules to consider when trying to identify some of the best quality stocks in the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) for growth and income.

Primary Golden Rules:

Golden Rule 1: Financial Health

Golden Rule 2: Past Financial Performance

Golden Rule 3: Outlook and Active Risks

These three rules are the core pillars of our high-conviction stock selection strategy. They focus on high-quality stocks with robust fundamentals rather than opinions and speculation. Financial Health remains the cornerstone of our approach and fuels our pursuit to invest in the numbers.

Golden Rule 1: Financial Health

This fundamental principle encapsulates the thorough due diligence that investors need to undertake on a company’s financial position before investing.

Put simply, you should analyse companies’ financial accounts and calculate industry-specific profit, debt, asset, equity, and cash flow ratios.

Since its inception in the 1980s, our Financial Health Model has had an approximately 95% success rate of identifying corporate failures before they occur.

Golden Rule 2: Past Financial Performance

Our research has shown that a company’s track record and past performance metrics can be a reliable indicator of its future performance.

When combined with Financial Health, Past Financial Performance is an essential quantitative barometer to help further measure the true fundamental quality and investment potential of growth stocks and income stocks.

Golden Rule 3: Outlook and Active Risks

Lastly, to overcome the potential for backwards-looking bias, you should also consider Outlook and Active Risks, what we call Golden Rule 3. This is to ensure a company can maintain its Past Financial Performance.

This involves a qualitative analysis of the company, its outlook, and potential risks.

Consider investigating trends in earnings revisions, a company’s competitive landscape, directors trading activity, currency and commodity risk, management remuneration, trends in short selling, regulatory and geopolitical risks.

It’s important to note that significant active risk may impact a company’s ability to remain financially healthy or jeopardise its past financial performance (Golden Rule 2) compliance. Therefore, it may put its ability to deliver on the needs of growth or income investors at risk.

The three Primary Golden Rules provide the core framework for investors to build a high-quality, financially healthy portfolio for capital growth or to provide a sustainable dividend stream. From this process, our portfolios of Star Stocks for growth and income are created.

The Secondary Golden Rules are then used to tailor these stocks to an investor’s own personal preference, tolerance to risk, style, and investment goals. Not all secondary Golden Rules will be relevant to every investor. Proactive investors are encouraged to use a combination of these rules to help refine their own stock selection strategy.

At Lincoln Indicators, our quantitative data-driven methodology has identified some of the best quality stocks to buy – what we call our Star Stocks for growth and income. Get a free copy of the Golden Rules white paper to understand this investment framework further.

If you would like to see our Golden Rules in action and view some of our Star Stocks, start a free trial to Stock Doctor today.

Information in this communication is current as of publication unless otherwise stated. It is provided for educational purposes only and may not reflect current market data or opinion. It should not be relied upon in respect to any current investment decision. Investments can go up and down. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Important: This communication is provided by or on behalf of Lincoln Indicators Pty Limited ABN 23 006 715 573 (Lincoln), as Corporate Authorised Representative of Lincoln Financial Group Pty Ltd ABN 70 609 751 966, AFSL 483167 for information and educational purposes only. This content may contain general financial product advice. It has been prepared without taking account of your personal circumstances and you should therefore consider its appropriateness in light of your objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on it. Investments can go up and down. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Shares and other investments may go up and down in value, and their past performance may not be repeated and gives no guarantee of future performance. Information in this communication was current as at the date of its preparation, unless otherwise stated, and may be subject to change.

You should read and consider our Important Information and our Financial Services Guide (FSG) which sets out key information about the services we provide. Where our advice relates to the acquisition or possible acquisition of a particular financial product, you should obtain a copy of and consider the Lincoln Australian Income Fund Product Disclosure Statement (PDS), Lincoln Australian Growth Fund Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Lincoln U.S. Growth Fund Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) for the product at www.lincolnindicators.com.au before making any decision.

At the date of preparation of this communication, Lincoln, Lincoln Financial Group Pty Ltd or directors, employees and/or associates of these entities "may hold" interests in these ASX-listed companies. Further information about particular stocks held by these entities or persons from time to time is disclosed within the Stock Doctor program and may change at any time without notice.

Lincoln, Lincoln Financial Group Pty Ltd, any directors, employees and agents of these entities, make no representation and give no warranty as to the accuracy of this communication and do not accept any responsibility for any errors or inaccuracies in, or omissions from, this communication (whether negligent or otherwise) and are not liable for any loss or damage howsoever arising as a result of any person acting, or refraining from acting, in reliance on any information in this communication. No person should rely on this communication as it does not purport to be comprehensive. This disclaimer does not purport to exclude any rights under, or warranties implied by, law which may not be lawfully excluded.

Lincoln has taken precautions to minimise the risk of transmitting software viruses, but we advise you to carry out your own virus checks on any downloadable content. We do not accept liability for any loss or damage caused by software viruses.

Copyright © 2024 Lincoln Indicators Pty Ltd. All rights reserved.

All financial services are provided by Lincoln Indicators Pty Ltd ABN 23 006 715 573 (Lincoln) as the Corporate Authorised Representative of Lincoln Financial Group Pty Ltd ABN 70 609 751 966, AFSL 483167.

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